NFL week 5

NFL Week 5 2005

Team Stats
Name Rating
1 San Diego Chargers 82.8468568794239
2 Cincinnati Bengals 81.3102102358682
3 Chicago Bears 80.2258535574041
4 Denver Broncos 79.9775058723872
5 Philadelphia Eagles 79.1546732827961
6 Indianapolis Colts 78.6651078489176
7 Atlanta Falcons 77.3639076915687
8 Washington Redskins 77.2477031237057
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 75.8524582615646
10 Seattle Seahawks 75.3091391622851
11 Dallas Cowboys 74.8263697206585
12 Jacksonville Jaguars 73.7481168713469
13 Miami Dolphins 73.471623677745
14 Cleveland Browns 73.3705507151346
15 New York Giants 73.0525988990296
16 Kansas City Chiefs 73.0029672809258
17 Oakland Raiders 72.3786635783029
18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70.8731839201662
19 New England Patriots 70.020307836725
20 Detroit Lions 67.678462202822
21 Carolina Panthers 66.4398287802797
22 New Orleans Saints 66.1723541697648
23 Minnesota Vikings 65.0480593789831
24 Houston Texans 64.3581972953512
25 Green Bay Packers 63.7208181015203
26 New York Jets 63.3579610518239
27 Buffalo Bills 62.870767971424
28 Saint Louis Rams 62.0093805198522
29 Tennessee Titans 60.6003009546569
30 Arizona Cardinals 60.4488815139799
31 Baltimore Ravens 60.0304190227459
32 San Francisco Forty Niner 55.5124488298127

Home points advantage is 5.25
Average points per game is 19.8916666666667

Average Rushing TDs per game is .866666666666667
Average Passing TDs per game is 1.33333333333333
Average Field Goals per game is 1.58333333333333
Odd totals are 45
Even totals are 29
Z is 1.97620985864493 95% confidence this is not chance
Over Wins totals are 16
Under Wins totals are 58
Z is 4.99864846598423 99% confidence this is not chance
Bet Overs Profit
Won is 33.6
Lost is 63.8
Profit is -47.8
On total bets of 81.4
Percent is 41.2776412776413

Home wins are 38
Away wins are 22
Z is 2.19469056285087 95% confidence this is not chance
Home wins minus home point advantage are 28
Away wins minus home point advantage are 32
Z is .645497224367903 90% confidence this is chance

Home Detroit Lions D straight up win is .829658565
Away Baltimore Ravens B straight up win is .170341435
Spread is Detroit Lions D plus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .889882513047272

Home Cleveland Browns D straight up win is .540896158
Away Chicago Bears D straight up win is .459103842
Spread is Cleveland Browns D minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .471907591845374

Home Buffalo Bills C straight up win is .393521723
Away Miami Dolphins C straight up win is .606478277
Spread is Buffalo Bills C minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .360861204093431

Home Atlanta Falcons C straight up win is .786426643
Away New England Patriots A straight up win is .213573357
Spread is Atlanta Falcons C minus 3.5 Prob of beating it is .733786714224466

Home Green Bay Packers B straight up win is .63984568
Away New Orleans Saints D straight up win is .36015432
Spread is Green Bay Packers B minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .575172515527816

Home Saint Louis Rams C straight up win is .365988462
Away Seattle Seahawks A straight up win is .634011538
Spread is Saint Louis Rams C minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .314599322607586

Home New York Jets D straight up win is .600098592
Away Tampa Bay Buccaneers C straight up win is .399901408
Spread is New York Jets D plus 3.5 Prob of beating it is .713262777943422

Home Houston Texans D straight up win is .735845918
Away Tennessee Titans B straight up win is .264154082
Spread is Houston Texans D minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .668219180143265

Home San Francisco Forty Niners D straight up win is .11966735
Away Indianapolis Colts A straight up win is .88033265
Spread is San Francisco Forty Niners D plus 14.5 Prob of beating it is .545756398881495

Home Arizona Cardinals D straight up win is .584057057
Away Carolina Panthers B straight up win is .415942943
Spread is Arizona Cardinals D plus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .687585708182051

Home Dallas Cowboys C straight up win is .541996924
Away Philadelphia Eagles A straight up win is .458003076
Spread is Dallas Cowboys C plus 3.5 Prob of beating it is .659619743418319

Home Denver Broncos B straight up win is .717217037
Away Washington Redskins C straight up win is .282782963
Spread is Denver Broncos B minus 6.5 Prob of beating it is .436934855760917

Home Jacksonville Jaguars C straight up win is .401909052
Away Cincinnati Bengals C straight up win is .598090948
Spread is Jacksonville Jaguars C minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .36103617106774

Home San Diego Chargers D straight up win is .751384224
Away Pittsburgh Steelers D straight up win is .248615776
Spread is San Diego Chargers D minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .725597467764077

Positive Kelly Events
28 Game # 12 Oct 9 2004 Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos Under prob is .956811935 Kelly is 89.511469929 % Growth is 1.444965522 9.219 %
3 Game # 7 Oct 9 2004 Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions H prob is .765771573 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is 60.961928832 % Growth is 1.319145191 6.279 %
21 Game # 9 Oct 9 2004 Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco Forty Niners Under prob is .878719961 Kelly is 70.546276177 % Growth is 1.226811045 7.266 %
2 Game # 7 Oct 9 2004 Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions Hp prob is .628994148 Pay is 3.1 Kelly is 45.232469473 % Growth is 1.217318114 4.659 %
14 Game # 4 Oct 9 2004 Seattle Seahawks at Saint Louis Rams V prob is .646396875 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 42.53949217 % Growth is 1.149892048 4.381 %
23 Game # 10 Oct 9 2004 Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals Under prob is .815435671 Kelly is 55.17723433 % Growth is 1.125484084 5.683 %
9 Game # 5 Oct 9 2004 New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons Hp prob is .609138858 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is 34.856476406 % Growth is 1.092729232 3.59 %
10 Game # 5 Oct 9 2004 New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons H prob is .724434587 Pay is 1.9 Kelly is 41.825079426 % Growth is 1.085641995 4.308 %
16 Game # 3 Oct 9 2004 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets Under prob is .778108106 Kelly is 46.111968663 % Growth is 1.083806596 4.749 %
29 Game # 13 Oct 9 2004 Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars Under prob is .773530894 Kelly is 45.000359936 % Growth is 1.079426098 4.635 %
7 Game # 6 Oct 9 2004 Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills V prob is .589448743 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is 31.574790527 % Growth is 1.075480959 3.252 %
31 Game # 14 Oct 10 2004 Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers Under prob is .768204004 Kelly is 43.706686599 % Growth is 1.074512103 4.501 %
32 Game # 14 Oct 10 2004 Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers Hp prob is .557184281 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 28.042445711 % Growth is 1.062679646 2.888 %
33 Game # 14 Oct 10 2004 Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers H prob is .670982237 Pay is 2. Kelly is 34.196447481 % Growth is 1.061482306 3.522 %
8 Game # 5 Oct 9 2004 New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons Under prob is .750015222 Kelly is 39.289411011 % Growth is 1.059156818 4.046 %
19 Game # 8 Oct 9 2004 Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans Hp prob is .52752504 Pay is 2.7 Kelly is 24.959859256 % Growth is 1.052230348 2.571 %
30 Game # 13 Oct 9 2004 Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars V prob is .535940461 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 24.590324936 % Growth is 1.047954595 2.533 %
20 Game # 8 Oct 9 2004 Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans H prob is .624996268 Pay is 2.1 Kelly is 28.408378428 % Growth is 1.045641452 2.926 %
1 Game # 7 Oct 9 2004 Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions Under prob is .715938881 Kelly is 31.013728246 % Growth is 1.0358244 3.194 %
18 Game # 3 Oct 9 2004 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets H prob is .482751305 Pay is 2.8 Kelly is 19.539091928 % Growth is 1.033587236 2.012 %
6 Game # 6 Oct 9 2004 Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Over Kelly is 22.394768364 % Kelly is 22.394768364 % Growth is 1.018237869 2.306 %
25 Game # 10 Oct 9 2004 Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals H prob is .448744458 Pay is 2.8 Kelly is 14.249137981 % Growth is 1.017872926 1.468 %
11 Game # 2 Oct 9 2004 New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers Under prob is .670833624 Kelly is 20.059594477 % Growth is 1.014551808 2.066 %
27 Game # 11 Oct 9 2004 Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys H prob is .433503124 Pay is 2.8 Kelly is 11.878263803 % Growth is 1.012439589 1.223 %
17 Game # 3 Oct 9 2004 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets Hp prob is .363958747 Pay is 3.4 Kelly is 9.894155841 % Growth is 1.011343089 1.019 %
4 Game # 1 Oct 9 2004 Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns Over Kelly is 16.370801584 % Kelly is 16.370801584 % Growth is 1.009614879 1.686 %
24 Game # 10 Oct 9 2004 Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals Hp prob is .334666477 Pay is 3.4 Kelly is 5.744417577 % Growth is 1.003869965 .592 %
26 Game # 11 Oct 9 2004 Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Hp prob is .330597542 Pay is 3.4 Kelly is 5.167985084 % Growth is 1.003138423 .532 %
5 Game # 1 Oct 9 2004 Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns V prob is .433760476 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is 5.62674604 % Growth is 1.002357155 .58 %
22 Game # 9 Oct 9 2004 Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco Forty Niners V prob is .855219226 Pay is 1.2 Kelly is 13.13153539 % Growth is 1.001790876 1.352 %
15 Game # 4 Oct 9 2004 Seattle Seahawks at Saint Louis Rams Vp prob is .339700863 Pay is 3.2 Kelly is 3.956489147 % Growth is 1.001697672 .407 %
13 Game # 2 Oct 9 2004 New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers H prob is .515219999 Pay is 2. Kelly is 3.04399982 % Growth is 1.000463476 .314 %
12 Game # 2 Oct 9 2004 New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers Hp prob is .399105322 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 2.354614827 % Growth is 1.000441625 .243 %