NFL week 9 game predictions

Game # 9
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Miami Dolphins
Away Atlanta Falcons
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Miami Dolphins 1.91441812626722 13.4009268838705
Atlanta Falcons 2.9665956772267 20.7661697405869
Passing Tds
Miami Dolphins 3.13777207395123 21.9644045176586
Atlanta Falcons 3.07144645726443 21.500125200851
Field Goals
Miami Dolphins 4.66262526851337 13.9878758055401
Atlanta Falcons 3.5590510031603 10.6771530094809
Safetys
Miami Dolphins 0.427624812887468 0.855249625774936
Atlanta Falcons 0.265100817832585 0.530201635665171
Singles
Miami Dolphins 0
Atlanta Falcons 0

Miami Dolphins 50.2084568328442 Atlanta Falcons 53.473649586584

Score Prob 1.51875507050766E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 10
Score Prob 1.44317933129857E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 17
Score Prob 1.31579872835732E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 3
Score Prob 1.27437438138834E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 13
Score Prob 1.25032242906652E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 10
Score Prob 1.23742763704726E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 10
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 10
Score Prob 1.21095942543343E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 17
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 20
Score Prob 1.17585121158958E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 10
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 17
Score Prob .001136513890571
Home Score Miami Dolphins 20
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 10
Score Prob 1.13538064331494E-03
Home Score Miami Dolphins 24
Away Score Atlanta Falcons 10
Over is 40.5
Over prob is .528807159 Kelly is -14.432547004 % Growth is .
Under prob is .471192841 Kelly is -28.424595853 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .374446638 Pay is 3.2 Kelly is 9.010420112 % Growth is 1.008686252
H prob is .47426179 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 14.567540931 % Growth is 1.016729288
Tie prob is .157666723 Pay is 3. Kelly is -26.349991602 % Growth is .
V prob is .368071487 Pay is 2. Kelly is -26.3857026 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .189357505 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is -31.72940543 % Growth is .
Home Miami Dolphins straight up win is .595187846
Away Atlanta Falcons straight up win is .404812154
Spread is Miami Dolphins plus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .666740054258439
Kelly Vegas point spread for Miami Dolphins is 30.015411028 % Growth is 1.042818289
Kelly Vegas point spread for Atlanta Falcons is -40.015412128 % Growth is .

Prob of Atlanta Falcons scoring safety is zero
Prob of Miami Dolphins scoring single is zero
Prob of Atlanta Falcons scoring single is zero

Most probable score is Miami Dolphins 22. - Atlanta Falcons 15.

Game # 7
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Away Carolina Panthers
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.0227117628023 14.1589823396161
Carolina Panthers 2.77485283817518 19.4239698672263
Passing Tds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.44762132191073 17.1333492533751
Carolina Panthers 4.6215342899524 32.3507400296668
Field Goals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.24052357048134 12.721570711444
Carolina Panthers 2.70610861669414 8.11832585008243
Safetys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.409423373663008 0.818846747326016
Carolina Panthers 0.28208419320654 0.56416838641308
Singles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0
Carolina Panthers 0

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44.8327490517612 Carolina Panthers 60.4572041333886

Score Prob 3.72210603108212E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Away Score Carolina Panthers 10
Score Prob 3.59021040784872E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
Away Score Carolina Panthers 10
Score Prob 3.25113822834719E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Away Score Carolina Panthers 3
Score Prob 3.1417663427851E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Away Score Carolina Panthers 13
Score Prob 3.13593170299167E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
Away Score Carolina Panthers 3
Score Prob 3.13501503141816E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3
Away Score Carolina Panthers 10
Score Prob 3.03043549235392E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
Away Score Carolina Panthers 13
Score Prob 3.02392341877682E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Away Score Carolina Panthers 10
Score Prob 2.74423043735634E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Away Score Carolina Panthers 6
Score Prob 2.73833338705922E-03
Home Score Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3
Away Score Carolina Panthers 3
Over is 36.5
Over prob is .406180196 Kelly is -44.213381042 % Growth is .
Under prob is .593819804 Kelly is 1.356238185 % Growth is 1.000064469

Hp prob is .375366797 Pay is 3. Kelly is 6.305019552 % Growth is 1.003906837
H prob is .49463715 Pay is 2.4 Kelly is 13.366368512 % Growth is 1.012414943
Tie prob is .183436536 Pay is 2.8 Kelly is -27.020983333 % Growth is .
V prob is .321926315 Pay is 2.3 Kelly is -19.966882797 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .165084456 Pay is 2.9 Kelly is -27.43447784 % Growth is .
Home Tampa Bay Buccaneers straight up win is .608312667
Away Carolina Panthers straight up win is .391687333
Spread is Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus 1.5 Prob of beating it is .671878105312427
Kelly Vegas point spread for Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 31.094401755 % Growth is 1.046090535
Kelly Vegas point spread for Carolina Panthers is -41.094402855 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18.5 - Carolina Panthers 11.5

Game # 5
Date Nov 6 2004
Note - both teams away
Home New Orleans Saints
Away Chicago Bears
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
New Orleans Saints 3.32588437649423 23.2811906354596
Chicago Bears 1.79445334729663 12.5611734310764
Passing Tds
New Orleans Saints 2.75627051174012 19.2938935821809
Chicago Bears 3.19734995760433 22.3814497032303
Field Goals
New Orleans Saints 4.11900938726656 12.3570281617997
Chicago Bears 2.52003758647146 7.56011275941438
Safetys
New Orleans Saints 0.260343551471324 0.520687102942648
Chicago Bears 0.118457006861298 0.236914013722596
Singles
New Orleans Saints 0
Chicago Bears 0

New Orleans Saints 55.4527994823828 Chicago Bears 42.7396499074437

Score Prob 9.60713477676257E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 7
Score Prob 9.00352773110232E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 3
Away Score Chicago Bears 7
Score Prob 8.63094202880752E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 14
Score Prob 8.61977757904552E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 14
Score Prob 8.25444787377386E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 10
Score Prob 8.08866823538948E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 3
Away Score Chicago Bears 14
Score Prob 8.0782052372771E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 3
Away Score Chicago Bears 14
Score Prob 7.74391140695823E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 21
Score Prob 7.73582884630934E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 3
Away Score Chicago Bears 10
Score Prob 7.41570330112133E-03
Home Score New Orleans Saints 6
Away Score Chicago Bears 17
Over is 34.5
Over prob is .248677114 Kelly is -82.46412942 % Growth is .
Under prob is .751322886 Kelly is 39.606986562 % Growth is 1.060189868

Hp prob is .030406614 Pay is 3.4 Kelly is -37.359063057 % Growth is .
H prob is .060298799 Pay is 2.8 Kelly is -46.175742339 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .106518554 Pay is 3.2 Kelly is -29.96093758 % Growth is .
V prob is .833182647 Pay is 1.8 Kelly is 62.466095488 % Growth is 1.190302211
Vp prob is .433751681 Pay is 2.4 Kelly is 2.928859612 % Growth is 1.000598442
Home New Orleans Saints straight up win is .145470207
Away Chicago Bears straight up win is .854529793
Spread is New Orleans Saints plus 3.5 Prob of beating it is .239978641245748
Kelly Vegas point spread for New Orleans Saints is -59.604486174 % Growth is .
Kelly Vegas point spread for Chicago Bears is 49.604485074 % Growth is 1.125744127

Most probable score is New Orleans Saints 6. - Chicago Bears 17.

Game # 6
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Baltimore Ravens
Away Cincinnati Bengals
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Baltimore Ravens 2.03858465226473 14.2700925658531
Cincinnati Bengals 2.91485548767177 20.4039884137024
Passing Tds
Baltimore Ravens 3.41906027330792 23.9334219131554
Cincinnati Bengals 3.66634832383612 25.6644382668529
Field Goals
Baltimore Ravens 4.13200618323699 12.396018549711
Cincinnati Bengals 3.44255008055367 10.327650241661
Safetys
Baltimore Ravens 0.282719326771719 0.565438653543438
Cincinnati Bengals 0.13958602551417 0.279172051028339
Singles
Baltimore Ravens 0
Cincinnati Bengals 0

Baltimore Ravens 51.1649716822629 Cincinnati Bengals 56.6752489732446

Score Prob 6.01678766164831E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 6
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 10
Score Prob 5.78768847208796E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 3
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 10
Score Prob 5.2446139840784E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 6
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 7
Score Prob 5.04491659057256E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 3
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 7
Score Prob 4.92766651046599E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 6
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 17
Score Prob 4.74003741875525E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 3
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 17
Score Prob 4.6636050714112E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 13
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 10
Score Prob 4.4860305578381E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 10
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 10
Score Prob 4.39560522639845E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 13
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 10
Score Prob 4.29526686713501E-03
Home Score Baltimore Ravens 6
Away Score Cincinnati Bengals 14
Over is 36.5
Over prob is .326299074 Kelly is -63.613082111 % Growth is .
Under prob is .673700926 Kelly is 20.755939254 % Growth is 1.015604796

Hp prob is .30031581 Pay is 3.2 Kelly is -1.772245862 % Growth is .
H prob is .411256956 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 4.329255419 % Growth is 1.001488414
Tie prob is .201958464 Pay is 3. Kelly is -19.706230419 % Growth is .
V prob is .38678458 Pay is 2. Kelly is -22.64308406 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .20321935 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is -29.476855666 % Growth is .
Home Baltimore Ravens straight up win is .535768095
Away Cincinnati Bengals straight up win is .464231905
Spread is Baltimore Ravens plus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .631600097387283
Kelly Vegas point spread for Baltimore Ravens is 22.636020046 % Growth is 1.023922498
Kelly Vegas point spread for Cincinnati Bengals is -32.636021146 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Baltimore Ravens 16.5 - Cincinnati Bengals 13.5

Game # 1
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Minnesota Vikings
Away Detroit Lions
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Minnesota Vikings 2.21681804788901 15.5177263352231
Detroit Lions 3.12929831619869 21.9050882133909
Passing Tds
Minnesota Vikings 2.9872893487989 20.9110254415923
Detroit Lions 1.92361570014011 13.4653099009808
Field Goals
Minnesota Vikings 4.06007324905824 12.1802197471747
Detroit Lions 3.08999416527725 9.26998249583174
Safetys
Minnesota Vikings 0.265770560460601 0.531541120921203
Detroit Lions 0.258255986545547 0.516511973091093
Singles
Minnesota Vikings 0
Detroit Lions 0

Minnesota Vikings 49.1405126449113 Detroit Lions 45.1568925832945

Score Prob 2.05208115473829E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 10
Away Score Detroit Lions 17
Score Prob 1.8862338241765E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 3
Away Score Detroit Lions 17
Score Prob 1.8607415332714E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 10
Away Score Detroit Lions 24
Score Prob 1.85350717384278E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 10
Away Score Detroit Lions 10
Score Prob 1.71035809670703E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 3
Away Score Detroit Lions 24
Score Prob 1.70370841162075E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 3
Away Score Detroit Lions 10
Score Prob 1.68068293625824E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 10
Away Score Detroit Lions 17
Score Prob 1.67925264516371E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 17
Away Score Detroit Lions 17
Score Prob 1.63264123330342E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 10
Away Score Detroit Lions 14
Score Prob 1.59992408893798E-03
Home Score Minnesota Vikings 13
Away Score Detroit Lions 17
Over is 37.5
Over prob is .530859813 Kelly is -13.934045329 % Growth is .
Under prob is .469140187 Kelly is -28.923097528 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .168489192 Pay is 3.1 Kelly is -22.746833617 % Growth is .
H prob is .24152875 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is -26.411875082 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .147397554 Pay is 2.9 Kelly is -30.134057537 % Growth is .
V prob is .611073696 Pay is 2.1 Kelly is 25.750432953 % Growth is 1.037281474
Vp prob is .314541248 Pay is 2.7 Kelly is -8.86697829 % Growth is .
Home Minnesota Vikings straight up win is .368467743
Away Detroit Lions straight up win is .631532257
Spread is Minnesota Vikings minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .342827249412182
Kelly Vegas point spread for Minnesota Vikings is -38.006278346 % Growth is .
Kelly Vegas point spread for Detroit Lions is 28.006277246 % Growth is 1.03708003

Most probable score is Minnesota Vikings 13.5 - Detroit Lions 20.5

Game # 8
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Jacksonville Jaguars
Away Houston Texans
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.7558042891017 12.2906300237119
Houston Texans 3.09878429907924 21.6914900935547
Passing Tds
Jacksonville Jaguars 3.47062283963131 24.2943598774192
Houston Texans 2.99453292334429 20.96173046341
Field Goals
Jacksonville Jaguars 3.19326691581487 9.57980074744462
Houston Texans 3.67909745418681 11.0372923625604
Safetys
Jacksonville Jaguars 0.294999336724316 0.589998673448633
Houston Texans 0.256612721319403 0.513225442638806
Singles
Jacksonville Jaguars 0
Houston Texans 0

Jacksonville Jaguars 46.7547893220244 Houston Texans 54.2037383621639

Score Prob 3.05707877117454E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.8699081786912E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 27
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.75839280613906E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Away Score Houston Texans 10
Score Prob 2.60922152204936E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 27
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.58950935416688E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 27
Away Score Houston Texans 10
Score Prob 2.54036065268998E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 17
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.45259942474962E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 23
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.44947112804344E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 34
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.38482628669042E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 24
Away Score Houston Texans 3
Score Prob 2.37400406790884E-03
Home Score Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Away Score Houston Texans 6
Over is 36.5
Over prob is .630579156 Kelly is 10.283509217 % Growth is 1.003751705
Under prob is .369420844 Kelly is -53.140652074 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .802710945 Pay is 1.4 Kelly is 30.948830863 % Growth is 1.020839327
H prob is .876894584 Pay is 1.2 Kelly is 26.136750578 % Growth is 1.007412427
Tie prob is .077009872 Pay is 4. Kelly is -23.065350444 % Growth is .
V prob is .046095544 Pay is 5.2 Kelly is -18.102456453 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .02408196 Pay is 7.5 Kelly is -12.605927684 % Growth is .
Home Jacksonville Jaguars straight up win is .910400567
Away Houston Texans straight up win is .089599433
Spread is Jacksonville Jaguars minus 12.5 Prob of beating it is .707214456738619
Kelly Vegas point spread for Jacksonville Jaguars is 38.515035593 % Growth is 1.07240694
Kelly Vegas point spread for Houston Texans is -48.515036693 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Jacksonville Jaguars 27. - Houston Texans 10.

Game # 4
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Kansas City Chiefs
Away Oakland Raiders
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Kansas City Chiefs 3.4128380427488 23.8898662992416
Oakland Raiders 3.84877586772764 26.9414310740935
Passing Tds
Kansas City Chiefs 2.88351842381418 20.1846289666993
Oakland Raiders 2.44132297928335 17.0892608549834
Field Goals
Kansas City Chiefs 4.48740019184969 13.4622005755491
Oakland Raiders 4.04648413062611 12.1394523918783
Safetys
Kansas City Chiefs 0.310353500268104 0.620707000536208
Oakland Raiders 0.291853319641045 0.58370663928209
Singles
Kansas City Chiefs 0
Oakland Raiders 0

Kansas City Chiefs 58.1574028420262 Oakland Raiders 56.7538509602373

Score Prob 1.52348249748388E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 27
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Score Prob 1.46669939426735E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 20
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Score Prob 1.45954817391116E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 27
Away Score Oakland Raiders 17
Score Prob 1.40514802507744E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 20
Away Score Oakland Raiders 17
Score Prob 1.40143211328163E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 24
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Score Prob 1.34919806105532E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 17
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Score Prob 1.34261974468289E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 24
Away Score Oakland Raiders 17
Score Prob 1.33294634550575E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 20
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Score Prob 1.29257774179228E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 17
Away Score Oakland Raiders 17
Score Prob 1.28326488868301E-03
Home Score Kansas City Chiefs 13
Away Score Oakland Raiders 10
Over is 51.5
Over prob is .398375638 Kelly is -46.108773558 % Growth is .
Under prob is .601624362 Kelly is 3.251630701 % Growth is 1.000371383

Hp prob is .473921252 Pay is 2.3 Kelly is 6.924529174 % Growth is 1.003103303
H prob is .569379013 Pay is 1.7 Kelly is -4.579382517 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .145410139 Pay is 3.3 Kelly is -22.615066981 % Growth is .
V prob is .285210848 Pay is 3. Kelly is -7.218372859 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .148995518 Pay is 3.7 Kelly is -16.619132787 % Growth is .
Home Kansas City Chiefs straight up win is .67302328
Away Oakland Raiders straight up win is .32697672
Spread is Kansas City Chiefs minus 4.5 Prob of beating it is .582391662481203
Kelly Vegas point spread for Kansas City Chiefs is 12.302248662 % Growth is 1.006945209
Kelly Vegas point spread for Oakland Raiders is -22.302249762 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Kansas City Chiefs 27. - Oakland Raiders 17.

Game # 2
Date Nov 6 2004
Home New York Jets
Away San Diego Chargers
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
New York Jets 3.32276307541339 23.2593415278938
San Diego Chargers 2.54239270416173 17.7967489291321
Passing Tds
New York Jets 2.68960953751205 18.8272667625844
San Diego Chargers 4.40092783597193 30.8064948518035
Field Goals
New York Jets 3.39652888019127 10.1895866405738
San Diego Chargers 3.44830930808902 10.3449279242671
Safetys
New York Jets 0.246324088868786 0.492648177737572
San Diego Chargers 0.322388587133366 0.644777174266732
Singles
New York Jets 0
San Diego Chargers 0

New York Jets 52.7688431087895 San Diego Chargers 59.5929488794694

Score Prob 5.72452240600449E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 17
Score Prob 4.66544355662289E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 20
Score Prob 4.62565557195386E-03
Home Score New York Jets 14
Away Score San Diego Chargers 17
Score Prob 4.48593186063622E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 24
Score Prob 4.30781658156403E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 24
Score Prob 3.80356918132175E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 10
Score Prob 3.76987518831138E-03
Home Score New York Jets 14
Away Score San Diego Chargers 20
Score Prob 3.65600139370616E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 27
Score Prob 3.65254731847396E-03
Home Score New York Jets 7
Away Score San Diego Chargers 10
Score Prob 3.62482216591415E-03
Home Score New York Jets 14
Away Score San Diego Chargers 24
Over is 41.5
Over prob is .371162621 Kelly is -52.717649276 % Growth is .
Under prob is .628837379 Kelly is 9.860506419 % Growth is 1.003447037

Hp prob is .070378703 Pay is 4.8 Kelly is -17.425848032 % Growth is .
H prob is .12014084 Pay is 3.7 Kelly is -20.573292312 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .105021218 Pay is 3.5 Kelly is -25.297029508 % Growth is .
V prob is .774837942 Pay is 1.5 Kelly is 32.451382693 % Growth is 1.028571927
Vp prob is .38880063 Pay is 2. Kelly is -22.239874041 % Growth is .
Home New York Jets straight up win is .217680164
Away San Diego Chargers straight up win is .782319836
Spread is New York Jets plus 6.5 Prob of beating it is .386422417807435
Kelly Vegas point spread for New York Jets is -28.851292935 % Growth is .
Kelly Vegas point spread for San Diego Chargers is 18.851291835 % Growth is 1.01647046

Most probable score is New York Jets 12. - San Diego Chargers 22.

Game # 3
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Cleveland Browns
Away Tennessee Titans
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Cleveland Browns 2.20414135254119 15.4289894677883
Tennessee Titans 3.23464706847387 22.6425294793171
Passing Tds
Cleveland Browns 2.08118414531602 14.5682890172122
Tennessee Titans 3.27220255613588 22.9054178929512
Field Goals
Cleveland Browns 4.05923188256005 12.1776956476801
Tennessee Titans 2.8745059274593 8.62351778237789
Safetys
Cleveland Browns 0.25065108420275 0.501302168405501
Tennessee Titans 0.365347730835943 0.730695461671887
Singles
Cleveland Browns 0
Tennessee Titans 0

Cleveland Browns 42.6762763010861 Tennessee Titans 54.9021606163181

Score Prob 3.38968595865745E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 13
Away Score Tennessee Titans 13
Score Prob 3.2478907934587E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 13
Away Score Tennessee Titans 16
Score Prob 3.17965569334664E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 13
Away Score Tennessee Titans 6
Score Prob 3.12746909835976E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 10
Away Score Tennessee Titans 13
Score Prob 3.10238397396004E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 20
Away Score Tennessee Titans 13
Score Prob 3.04664637926499E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 13
Away Score Tennessee Titans 9
Score Prob 2.99664282039047E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 10
Away Score Tennessee Titans 16
Score Prob 2.97260704079781E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 20
Away Score Tennessee Titans 16
Score Prob 2.93368620150992E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 10
Away Score Tennessee Titans 6
Score Prob 2.91015539081279E-03
Home Score Cleveland Browns 20
Away Score Tennessee Titans 6
Over is 38.5
Over prob is .451566044 Kelly is -33.191103606 % Growth is .
Under prob is .548433956 Kelly is -9.666039251 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .492373877 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is 17.510754992 % Growth is 1.024182224
H prob is .613346105 Pay is 2. Kelly is 22.669221052 % Growth is 1.026258233
Tie prob is .169832322 Pay is 3. Kelly is -24.525151733 % Growth is .
V prob is .216821573 Pay is 2.6 Kelly is -27.266494393 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .111460354 Pay is 3.2 Kelly is -29.242130308 % Growth is .
Home Cleveland Browns straight up win is .711562263
Away Tennessee Titans straight up win is .288437737
Spread is Cleveland Browns minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .664643833230138
Kelly Vegas point spread for Cleveland Browns is 29.575204609 % Growth is 1.041521816
Kelly Vegas point spread for Tennessee Titans is -39.575205709 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Cleveland Browns 18.5 - Tennessee Titans 14.5

Game # 10
Date Nov 6 2004
Home San Francisco Forty Niners
Away New York Giants
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
San Francisco Forty 3.08765778238833 21.6136044767183
New York Giants 2.08212017629034 14.5748412340323
Passing Tds
San Francisco Forty 3.10700516836083 21.7490361785258
New York Giants 2.61864001456589 18.3304801019612
Field Goals
San Francisco Forty 4.50253123042924 13.5075936912877
New York Giants 4.64805694938902 13.944170848167
Safetys
San Francisco Forty 0.290712455320971 0.581424910641942
New York Giants 0.293147528588252 0.586295057176503
Singles
San Francisco Forty 0
New York Giants 0

San Francisco Forty 57.4516592571738 New York Giants 47.4357872413371

Score Prob 2.31278055947697E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 27
Score Prob 2.0968673792611E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 3
Away Score New York Giants 27
Score Prob 2.01877990598546E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 34
Score Prob 1.97983910554472E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 24
Score Prob 1.91793553277443E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 7
Away Score New York Giants 27
Score Prob 1.85926941473229E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 20
Score Prob 1.83031360819031E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 3
Away Score New York Giants 34
Score Prob 1.8011409450106E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 30
Score Prob 1.79500818596513E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 3
Away Score New York Giants 24
Score Prob 1.76639824230321E-03
Home Score San Francisco Forty Niners 10
Away Score New York Giants 20
Over is 42.5
Over prob is .500596915 Kelly is -21.28360637 % Growth is .
Under prob is .499403085 Kelly is -21.573536488 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .032317571 Pay is 6.2 Kelly is -15.377520361 % Growth is .
H prob is .057092352 Pay is 4.5 Kelly is -21.230983355 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .06549488 Pay is 3.8 Kelly is -26.825694842 % Growth is .
V prob is .877412768 Pay is 1.3 Kelly is 46.878866223 % Growth is 1.038635245
Vp prob is .442112298 Pay is 1.6 Kelly is -48.77005375 % Growth is .
Home San Francisco Forty Niners straight up win is .124653771
Away New York Giants straight up win is .875346229
Spread is San Francisco Forty Niners plus 10.5 Prob of beating it is .356063451700378
Kelly Vegas point spread for San Francisco Forty Niners is -35.226675851 % Growth is .
Kelly Vegas point spread for New York Giants is 25.226674751 % Growth is 1.029881835

Most probable score is San Francisco Forty Niners 13.5 - New York Giants 30.5

Game # 11
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Arizona Cardinals
Away Seattle Seahawks
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Arizona Cardinals 2.53272152407982 17.7290506685587
Seattle Seahawks 2.40692766145557 16.848493630189
Passing Tds
Arizona Cardinals 2.69661600593442 18.876312041541
Seattle Seahawks 3.51520322278459 24.6064225594921
Field Goals
Arizona Cardinals 5.57014846635337 16.7104453990601
Seattle Seahawks 4.09463716645485 12.2839114993646
Safetys
Arizona Cardinals 0.283291443618726 0.566582887237451
Seattle Seahawks 0.297688295780454 0.595376591560909
Singles
Arizona Cardinals 0
Seattle Seahawks 0

Arizona Cardinals 53.8823909963972 Seattle Seahawks 54.3342042806066

Score Prob 5.75046000735485E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 9
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 14
Score Prob 5.02574882755225E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 6
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 14
Score Prob 4.93475570967196E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 12
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 14
Score Prob 4.77825744366354E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 9
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 7
Score Prob 4.64596053254259E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 16
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 14
Score Prob 4.6136470859321E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 9
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 21
Score Prob 4.17849908659889E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 9
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 17
Score Prob 4.17606969086308E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 6
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 7
Score Prob 4.10046034095411E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 12
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 7
Score Prob 4.06044571554554E-03
Home Score Arizona Cardinals 13
Away Score Seattle Seahawks 14
Over is 44.5
Over prob is .205948769 Kelly is -92.841013212 % Growth is .
Under prob is .794051231 Kelly is 49.983870355 % Growth is 1.100259021

Hp prob is .162216061 Pay is 3.7 Kelly is -14.807428737 % Growth is .
H prob is .233967316 Pay is 3. Kelly is -14.904902547 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .173293695 Pay is 3.3 Kelly is -18.614382854 % Growth is .
V prob is .592738988 Pay is 1.7 Kelly is 1.093754323 % Growth is 1.000041918
Vp prob is .31759636 Pay is 2.3 Kelly is -20.732951697 % Growth is .
Home Arizona Cardinals straight up win is .377672401
Away Seattle Seahawks straight up win is .622327599
Spread is Arizona Cardinals plus 4.5 Prob of beating it is .5288094604383
Kelly Vegas point spread for Arizona Cardinals is 1.049986174 % Growth is 1.00005013
Kelly Vegas point spread for Seattle Seahawks is -11.049987274 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Arizona Cardinals 12.5 - Seattle Seahawks 20.5

Game # 12
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Green Bay Packers
Away Pittsburgh Steelers
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Green Bay Packers 2.18227452770777 15.2759216939544
Pittsburgh Steelers 3.29008703250167 23.0306092275117
Passing Tds
Green Bay Packers 4.97219418535186 34.805359297463
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.7002655086804 18.9018585607628
Field Goals
Green Bay Packers 2.38516346209713 7.15549038629139
Pittsburgh Steelers 3.90609018738525 11.7182705621557
Safetys
Green Bay Packers 0.27229361065742 0.544587221314841
Pittsburgh Steelers 0.255020498828788 0.510040997657575
Singles
Green Bay Packers 0
Pittsburgh Steelers 0

Green Bay Packers 57.7813585990236 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.1607793480878

Score Prob 3.69812501141372E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 17
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Score Prob 3.28952931933712E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 14
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Score Prob 3.06573782044635E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 17
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 24
Score Prob 3.0551038765689E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 10
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Score Prob 2.97397220528414E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 17
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 10
Score Prob 2.87828994314741E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 10
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Score Prob 2.72847210854223E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 17
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 14
Score Prob .002727012855064
Home Score Green Bay Packers 14
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 24
Score Prob 2.7175538264868E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 7
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Score Prob 2.64538617109539E-03
Home Score Green Bay Packers 14
Away Score Pittsburgh Steelers 10
Over is 42.5
Over prob is .425803628 Kelly is -39.447690364 % Growth is .
Under prob is .574196372 Kelly is -3.409452494 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .267987918 Pay is 5.5 Kelly is 10.531856658 % Growth is 1.022752962
H prob is .365509784 Pay is 4. Kelly is 15.401304538 % Growth is 1.033253975
Tie prob is .164561861 Pay is 3.6 Kelly is -15.676049953 % Growth is .
V prob is .469928355 Pay is 1.4 Kelly is -85.525075921 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .239426917 Pay is 1.8 Kelly is -71.128943708 % Growth is .
Home Green Bay Packers straight up win is .488332978
Away Pittsburgh Steelers straight up win is .511667022
Spread is Green Bay Packers plus 7.5 Prob of beating it is .723508515219415
Kelly Vegas point spread for Green Bay Packers is 41.936787892 % Growth is 1.086944518
Kelly Vegas point spread for Pittsburgh Steelers is -51.936788992 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Green Bay Packers 17. - Pittsburgh Steelers 17.

Game # 13
Date Nov 6 2004
Home Washington Redskins
Away Philadelphia Eagles
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
Washington Redskins 3.09421797889187 21.6595258522431
Philadelphia Eagles 2.41725208958254 16.9207646270778
Passing Tds
Washington Redskins 3.03497833725995 21.2448483608197
Philadelphia Eagles 4.52637999585022 31.6846599709515
Field Goals
Washington Redskins 3.80462853501335 11.4138856050401
Philadelphia Eagles 3.69701212437001 11.09103637311
Safetys
Washington Redskins 0.288578749225986 0.577157498451973
Philadelphia Eagles 0.289754682627627 0.579509365255254
Singles
Washington Redskins 0
Philadelphia Eagles 0

Washington Redskins 54.8954173165548 Philadelphia Eagles 60.2759703363946

Score Prob 1.89571811005756E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 21
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.80511559720277E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 14
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.75051937621678E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 24
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.66685638146835E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 17
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.61071416280356E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 14
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.57154572017597E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 21
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 17
Score Prob 1.53373291233886E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 7
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.49643645653666E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 14
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 17
Score Prob 1.4874342639603E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 28
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Score Prob 1.48734473578923E-03
Home Score Washington Redskins 17
Away Score Philadelphia Eagles 10
Over is 40.5
Over prob is .60966671 Kelly is 5.204772485 % Growth is 1.000953872
Under prob is .39033329 Kelly is -48.061915342 % Growth is .

Hp prob is .408531992 Pay is 2.7 Kelly is 6.060963472 % Growth is 1.003087107
H prob is .512261927 Pay is 2.1 Kelly is 6.886367924 % Growth is 1.002607895
Tie prob is .147081486 Pay is 2.9 Kelly is -30.182299566 % Growth is .
V prob is .340656587 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is -9.890568804 % Growth is .
Vp prob is .172560608 Pay is 3.1 Kelly is -22.145815015 % Growth is .
Home Washington Redskins straight up win is .624652293
Away Philadelphia Eagles straight up win is .375347707
Spread is Washington Redskins minus 2.5 Prob of beating it is .592560166493852
Kelly Vegas point spread for Washington Redskins is 14.437634516 % Growth is 1.009592869
Kelly Vegas point spread for Philadelphia Eagles is -24.437635616 % Growth is .

Most probable score is Washington Redskins 24. - Philadelphia Eagles 17.

Game # 14
Date Nov 7 2004
Home New England Patriots
Away Indianapolis Colts
Lamdbas
Rushing Tds
New England Patriots 3.3695289629204 23.5867027404428
Indianapolis Colts 3.6689909620875 25.6829367346125
Passing Tds
New England Patriots 3.85709337194804 26.9996536036363
Indianapolis Colts 2.70137050565185 18.909593539563
Field Goals
New England Patriots 4.54291423547179 13.6287427064154
Indianapolis Colts 2.77582591946747 8.32747775840242
Safetys
New England Patriots 0.279331336623583 0.558662673247166
Indianapolis Colts 0.253403114595813 0.506806229191626
Singles
New England Patriots 0
Indianapolis Colts 0

New England Patriots 64.7737617237416 Indianapolis Colts 53.4268142617695

Score Prob 2.79198347041787E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 17
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 2.68274285439858E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 14
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 2.63235050479654E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 10
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 2.52935577228129E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 7
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 2.17559949895048E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 17
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 21
Score Prob 2.11748444523698E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 10
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 2.09047584689639E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 14
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 21
Score Prob 2.05120857626004E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 10
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 21
Score Prob 2.03463463338822E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 7
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Score Prob 1.99641627802479E-03
Home Score New England Patriots 3
Away Score Indianapolis Colts 14
Over is 46.5
Over prob is .336519771 Kelly is -61.130912767 % Growth is .
Under prob is .663480229 Kelly is 18.27376991 % Growth is 1.012028155

Hp prob is .223976555 Pay is 3.3 Kelly is -11.342494228 % Growth is .
H prob is .308770925 Pay is 2.7 Kelly is -9.783441332 % Growth is .
Tie prob is .152966245 Pay is 3.1 Kelly is -25.038316164 % Growth is .
V prob is .53826283 Pay is 1.9 Kelly is 2.522152939 % Growth is 1.000286566
Vp prob is .276580985 Pay is 2.5 Kelly is -20.569835842 % Growth is .
Home New England Patriots straight up win is .430540074
Away Indianapolis Colts straight up win is .569459926
Spread is New England Patriots plus 3.5 Prob of beating it is .548072914960357
Kelly Vegas point spread for New England Patriots is 5.095311645 % Growth is 1.001183093
Kelly Vegas point spread for Indianapolis Colts is -15.095312745 % Growth is .

Most probable score is New England Patriots 19. - Indianapolis Colts 19.